Phillips Curve — Adaptive Expectations

Inflation & Unemployment · Macro
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SRPC paths LRPC
Each attempt to reduce U below NAIRU shifts SRPC up as inflation expectations adjust. A→B→C→D→E: repeated demand stimulus temporarily lowers unemployment below NAIRU, but expectations adjust and the SRPC shifts up each time — in the long run, unemployment returns to NAIRU at ever-higher inflation.